NFL (Beta) Bets

Data refreshes early each morning, typically by 8am ET, when the model publishes new outputs.

NFL (Beta) · /picks

This Week’s Card

Gated by confidence threshold · 2 qualifying

As of Nov 3, 2026, 6:45 AM ET
#1TOP PLAYNFL
The pick
Indianapolis Colts +5.5
Stake
1.0u
Indianapolis ColtsvsDallas Cowboys·Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Spread number-linegap 6.0
MODEL -0.5
MKT +5.5
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
+5.0
+10.0
Thesis

Model projects Indianapolis Colts wins by 0.5; market line is Dallas Cowboys −5.5. That's 6.0 points of value on Indianapolis Colts +5.5.

Matchup read

Edgeboard model projects Indianapolis Colts by 0.5; the market line is Indianapolis Colts +5.5, a 6.0-point edge on Indianapolis Colts +5.5. Tagged B-tier — a strong edge but only some of the supporting context filters fired. Versus Dallas Cowboys, the model favors Indianapolis Colts at this number.

#2TOP PLAYNFL
The pick
Minnesota Vikings +3.5
Stake
1.0u
Minnesota VikingsvsBuffalo Bills·Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET
Spread number-linegap 4.2
MODEL -0.5
MKT +3.5
-8.0
-4.0
0.0
+4.0
+8.0
Thesis

Model projects Minnesota Vikings wins by 0.7; market line is Buffalo Bills −3.5. That's 4.2 points of value on Minnesota Vikings +3.5.

Matchup read

Edgeboard model projects Minnesota Vikings by 0.7; the market line is Minnesota Vikings +3.5, a 4.2-point edge on Minnesota Vikings +3.5. Tagged B-tier — a meaningful edge but only some of the supporting context filters fired. Versus Buffalo Bills, the model favors Minnesota Vikings at this number.