Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Saturday, March 21, 2026
LAC
AwayClippers
138FINALTotal 269 · Under 233.5 missed
DAL
HomeMavericks
131Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -1.00uUnder 233.51u
Model confidence80%Tier B play
Why the model likes it
The market total looks stale/high relative to a slower, more controlled expected game environment. This is one of the cleaner under spots on the slate.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 6.3 points lower than the sportsbooks.
Market233.5
Our model227.1
Gap−6.3toward Under
200220240260280
Market 233.4
Model 227.1
Final 269
March 21, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.