Memphis Grizzlies at Charlotte Hornets

Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Saturday, March 21, 2026

MEM

AwayGrizzlies

101

FINALTotal 225 · Under 235.5 cashed

CHA

HomeHornets

124

Official pick · counts in our record

WIN · +0.91u

Under 235.51u

Model confidence76%Tier A play

Why the model likes it

This total appears inflated versus projection and likely needs near-best-case shooting to clear. The market number is high enough that a mediocre fourth quarter could sink the over.

Our number vs the market

Total points. Our model priced this game 5.3 points lower than the sportsbooks.

Market235.5

Our model230.0

Gap−5.3toward Under

220225230235240

Market 235.3

Model 230

Final 225

March 21, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.