Brooklyn Nets at Golden State Warriors

Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Wednesday, March 25, 2026

BKN

AwayNets

106

FINALTotal 215 · Over 216 missed

GSW

HomeWarriors

109

Official pick · counts in our record

LOSS · -1.00u

Over 2161u

Model confidence82%Tier A play

Why the model likes it

Model makes this total materially low versus expected scoring environment. Even with some blowout risk, the number is depressed enough to still favor the Over.

Our number vs the market

Total points. Our model priced this game 10.5 points higher than the sportsbooks.

Market216

Our model226.4

Gap+10.5toward Over

210215220225230

Market 215.9

Model 226.4

Final 215

March 25, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.