Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Wednesday, March 25, 2026
MIA
AwayHeat
120FINALTotal 223 · Under 242.5 cashed
CLE
HomeCavaliers
103Official pick · counts in our record
WIN · +1.02uUnder 242.51u
Model confidence84%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
This is one of the clearest Under positions on the slate because the market total is extremely aggressive. A slower, more defensive game script is enough to create a sizable cushion below 242.7.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 9.8 points lower than the sportsbooks.
Market242.5
Our model232.9
Gap−9.8toward Under
210220230240250
Market 242.7
Model 232.9
Final 223
March 25, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.