Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets

Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Wednesday, March 25, 2026

DAL

AwayMavericks

135

FINALTotal 277 · Under 245 missed

DEN

HomeNuggets

142

Official pick · counts in our record

LOSS · -1.00u

Under 2451u

Model confidence92%Tier A play

Why the model likes it

This number appears stale and significantly too high versus the model. Even in an efficient offensive matchup, 245.2 demands extreme shot-making and sustained pace.

Our number vs the market

Total points. Our model priced this game 15.6 points lower than the sportsbooks.

Market245

Our model229.6

Gap−15.6toward Under

200220240260280300

Market 245.2

Model 229.6

Final 277

March 25, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.