NBA · every game priced

NBA predictions for Sunday, April 12

10games priced

3official picks

7model leans, not picks

0held back, gap too wide

StartMatchupMarketModelGap (total)Our call

6:10 PMHawks at HeatFinal · ATL 117, MIA 143243234.2−9.0Official pickUnder 243.5 · 1u 6:10 PMHornets at KnicksFinal · CHA 110, NYK 96218.5222.3+3.7LeanOver 215.5 6:10 PMWizards at CavaliersFinal · WAS 117, CLE 130236231.3−4.9LeanUnder 236 6:10 PMNets at RaptorsFinal · BKN 101, TOR 136219223.3+4.2LeanOver 219 8:40 PMBulls at MavericksFinal · CHI 128, DAL 149245.5229.9−15.8LeanUnder 245.5 8:40 PMNuggets at SpursFinal · DEN 128, SAS 118233228.4−4.8Official pickUnder 238.5 · 1u 8:40 PMSuns at ThunderFinal · PHX 135, OKC 103213220.4+7.4Official pickOver 215.5 · 0.5u 8:40 PMJazz at LakersFinal · UTA 107, LAL 131236.5232.9−3.6LeanUnder 236.5 8:40 PMWarriors at ClippersFinal · GSW 110, LAC 115225227.5+2.6LeanOver 224.5 8:40 PMPelicans at TimberwolvesFinal · NOP 126, MIN 132236233.2−2.9LeanUnder 236

Official pick: on our card and in our public record. Lean: the model and the market differ, but the game did not make the card, so no stake and no record.

Held back: the gap is unusually wide, which more often means missing news than value, so we pass. Gap = our number minus the market's; right of center leans Over.