Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Sunday, April 12, 2026
PHX
AwaySuns
135FINALTotal 238 · Over 215.5 cashed
OKC
HomeThunder
103Official pick · counts in our record
WIN · +0.45uOver 215.50.5u
Model confidence68%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
Model shows a solid 5-point edge to the over in a game that projects better offensively than the market total implies. Competitive spread supports full-minute usage and late-game foul extension.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 7.4 points higher than the sportsbooks.
Market213
Our model220.4
Gap+7.4toward Over
200210220230240250
Market 213
Model 220.4
Final 238
April 12, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.